Did Tulsi Gabbard show courage by voting “present” on impeachment?

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When the US House of Representatives impeached President Trump last night, unlike every other member of the House, Tulsi Gabbard voted “present.” Is she a courageous centrist, or just a coward? Let’s look at her statement. About that impeachment Here’s what happened last night. The votes to impeach came from 229 House Democrats and one … Continued

An analysis of Trump’s deranged impeachment letter to Nancy Pelosi

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Donald Trump sent a 2700-word letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on the eve of the vote on his impeachment. It’s a rambling, shambling mess filled with feints, irrelevant claims, and counterattacks. I’ll get into why it exists, what it’s trying to do, and whether it succeeds in that goal. I really didn’t want to … Continued

About those articles of impeachment

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The Judiciary Committee of the US House of Representatives released its proposed articles of impeachment against President Trump. Normally, in this space, you’d see me analyze the language in those articles. I won’t. Most of the facts are clear. Trump had a call with the president of Ukraine. The government withheld aid required by Congress. … Continued

Why Mitt Romney is the most important man in America

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The future of the United States depends on Mitt Romney — but not in the way he imagined when he ran for president in 2012. The following things are going to happen: More will come out about Trump and Ukraine. None of it will look good for Trump. More will come out about Trump inviting … Continued

How Russia will disrupt the midterm elections

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The objective of Russia’s meddling in the 2016 election was never to elect Donald Trump — it was to create chaos. So let’s game it out. You are the head of Russian intelligence. You’re out to build on your success in 2016 and make America as impotent and divided as possible. What would you do? … Continued

Paul Manafort, Michael Cohen, and the risks of analytical optimism

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True analysts cannot afford optimism. To make an accurate prediction, you cannot let what you want to happen color what is likely to happen. But that’s exactly what I’ve seen in the wake of the conviction of Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort and the guilty plea from his former lawyer Michael Cohen. Trump-haters are … Continued

What’s the significance of the Republican criticisms of Trump and Putin in Helsinki?

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Trump met with Putin in Helsinki, then defended the Russian president. Democrats were outraged, of course, but this time many Republicans chimed in with disapproval as well. What does the language of these Republican protests tell us about the probability of an impeachment? Trump got everyone upset with this response to a reporter’s question: AP … Continued

I’ve figured out what “covfefe” means. It means we’re screwed.

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President Trump posted a mysterious tweet including a the non-word “covfefe” last night. Then he asked us to figure out the its true¬†meaning. The meaning is clear: we must no longer take seriously anything this president says. Here’s the Tweet the president sent at 12:06am. Covfefe is not a word. It’s a mistake. But the … Continued