Elections, hurricanes, and the uncertainty conundrum

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I have two simple questions for you. Is Elizabeth Warren the most likely democratic candidate to win the Democratic nomination? Is Elizabeth Warren more likely than not to win the Democratic nomination? One way to analyze these questions is to look at the odds on a site like PredictIt. As I write this, you can … Continued

The Elizabeth Warren surge is a poll illusion

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According to Monday’s Monmouth University poll, there’s now a three-way tie in the Democratic presidential primary: Warren, Sanders, and Biden. This has been reported as a “surge.” In fact, it says more about polls and media than it does about Elizabeth Warren or Joe Biden. The Monmouth University poll reports three front-runners: Elizabeth Warren 20%, … Continued

How people express support as John McCain faces brain cancer

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John McCain has an aggressive form of brain cancer. After 31 years of high-visibility leadership in the Senate, he’s due a lot of sympathy. The sincere and personal notes that his colleagues have written impressed me. The prognosis for McCain’s cancer is poor. Like many Americans, I’ve admired him for years. His heroism as a … Continued

Wells Fargo’s vision and values led to its downfall

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Visions statements inspire. Wells Fargo’s inspired fraud. A close read of the company’s Vision & Values Statement reveals how the bank’s employees took some of the statements in this vision too far, ignored others, and created a corrupt scheme to meet quotas and violate customers’ trust. Elizabeth Warren mentioned the Vision & Values Statement during her withering … Continued

Interpreting non-answers from Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

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Politicians (and other people) often can’t or won’t answer a question. How they respond says a lot about who they are. If they were honest, they would say “I won’t answer that” and then say why. But instead, they just take the airtime and answer some other question they’d rather talk about. For example, Mediaite recently … Continued