It’s set for election 2016: Clinton vs. Romney vs. Bloomberg
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It’s set for election 2016: Clinton vs. Romney vs. Bloomberg

WASHINGTON, August 1, 2016. As we wind down from the nominating conventions of both parties, America faces the most unusual election scenario in decades. Hillary Clinton, fresh from a bruising fight to win the Democratic nomination, faces Mitt Romney, chosen by the Republicans at a brokered convention, and independent Michael Bloomberg. And it all began on…

Iowa polls, “expectations” were a pale shadow of the truth
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Iowa polls, “expectations” were a pale shadow of the truth

For months, the political media have had nothing to talk about but polls and expectations. Yesterday reality crashed the party in Iowa, revealing the vacuity of the polls and the “expectations game.” Let’s examine how poll/expectations-based “analysis” differs from reality-based analysis. The polls were totally off Let’s compare two recent Iowa polls, the Quinnipiac poll done Sunday and…

Donald Trump endgame: The Trumpist Party

Donald Trump endgame: The Trumpist Party

Analysts predict not only what will happen next, but what will happen after that. Here’s my prediction: after losing in 2016, Donald Trump will form his own party, the Trumpist Party. Trump is divisive Trump thrills white men and scares nearly everybody else. Donald Trump is a hero for white, working-class men. As Kathleen Parker writes in the Washington Post,…

Can Bernie Sanders talk straight about race?

Can Bernie Sanders talk straight about race?

Two presidential contenders stand out from the crowd when it comes to expressing clear, unequivocal views: Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. We’ve already established that Trump’s forthright views, while clear, are often factually inaccurate. But what about Bernie? Senator Sanders’ biggest challenge in winning the nomination is black voters, who so far are more likely to vote for Hillary…