Donald Trump, Dorian, and the meaning of Sharpiegate

Donald Trump, Dorian, and the meaning of Sharpiegate

Donald Trump, or someone close to him, scribbled with a Sharpie on a hurricane weather map to convince us he didn’t make a mistake. His judgment is clearly shot. Assuming we survive until election day, that’s going to be a problem. What happened? Well, on September 1, Trump tweeted that Hurricane Dorian was threatening Alabama…

Elections, hurricanes, and the uncertainty conundrum
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Elections, hurricanes, and the uncertainty conundrum

I have two simple questions for you. Is Elizabeth Warren the most likely democratic candidate to win the Democratic nomination? Is Elizabeth Warren more likely than not to win the Democratic nomination? One way to analyze these questions is to look at the odds on a site like PredictIt. As I write this, you can…